Occam's Razor

Occam's razor (or Ockham's razor) is a principle from philosophy. Suppose there exist two explanations for an occurrence. In this case the simpler one is usually better. Another way of saying it is that the more assumptions you have to make, the more unlikely an explanation is.

Occam's razor - Simple English Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The foundation for conservative thinking.

Maybe we should write this down and keep it in view all of the time.

In the same place where we keep the notions: Can't see the forest for the trees. Keep it simple, Stupid. Don't go around your back to get to your nose. 

   We have been constantly and endlessly flooded with controversy for the last 7+ years by Mr. Obama and his cult followers, this includes the media...his "pivoting" from one issue to another...stoking the media fire...creating headlines...in our faces every single day. I am so very, very glad his face will cease to come into my home through the TV set. I will be able to watch the news again. If we don't wish to return to our present state of insanity, maybe a lesson or two. 

   There are millions of 20 somethings in this country who stay in their pajamas most of the day, pinned to their telephones and computers their parents pay for, passing opinions on the net, passing for adults...but really not so much. This has been his audience...his echo chamber. 

   While stirring and lighting the fires under this devil's orchestra, gave them something to do, a group to which they could belong, some credibility and payoff for being low information wise asses. 

   This liberal storm of protest and undignified verbosity we have been suffering for the last 7 years has irritated and awakened and pissed off the conservatives in this country who just want to be left the alone. Therein may lie the lesson for us all to learn. To keep it simple, fate cannot enter our world as a liberal tornado, lighting the fires of the sarcastic, rude, computer savvy and verbally accomplished but common sense absent minded, single issue youth...WITHOUT lighting off the conservative components of society. I am thinking that it takes a hell of a lot of crap and time to get the conservatives angry...to get that dog off of his warm bed...but when it does the conservatives WILL ACT to put down all of this noise...hence, Donald Trump. That's "Occam's Razor" thinking.

   The present administration...it feels good not to say his name...hasn't destroyed the country...not yet...but he has made us angry...and we conservatives are seeing that the fuse of this bomb that can take us all down has been lit...the 20 trillion dollar fuse....and it is time to put our parental foot down and squash this varmint with the tools that we have available. Donald Trump is the candidate that this free wheeling system has given to us. Major politicians have joined in with their support. The latest is Marco Rubio. Personally I wish he would run for VP. It's time for all of us to join Trump. There is no punishment worse than electing a Hillary/Bill Clinton Presidency supported by all of the "Me" generation and none of the "Us" generation.  

Whose Lie Is Most Attractive

   Some people are allowed to say things that are competely useful to them but are completely and utterly false.
    It's interesting that when citizens of totalitarian countries,  North Korea in this case, escape to Democratic countries like South Korea, the totalitarians say they were kidnapped. The South Koreans say they want to defect. Who to believe?
    The truth may not be recoverable as long as each party claims their side of the story. It doesn't matter what the escapees say. Their responses could have been coerced.
    This is an important issue.  People die from chemical weapons attacks in Syria and no one claims responsibility...everyone is innocent and points to the other guy. No one is held responsible. It works.
     Politicians do the same thing. Remember when Bill Clinton was being accused of consorting with a young intern in the White House and Hillary said the accusations were a "Right Wing Conspiracy"? She knew her husband was guilty and still laid that lie down as if they were morally untarnished and Monica was a lying tramp. In the end his half truth of  "I never had sex with that woman" because oral sex is not sex, just to refresh your memory of a  miserable moment in time for our country, stood as a good enough stopping point for the Democrats.
     The lies that flowed from the White House and  Hillary as Secretary Of State after Benghazi were more disinformation...sophomoric as they were. Everyone knows she and President Obama tried to color this thing so that no responsibility would be cast upon them. This is another example of even with astounding evidence of the reality of what happened, where the truth cannot be questioned except by sheer audacity, people are allowed to get away with causing terrible things to happen to good people without punishment...without consequences.
     Sometimes withholding information is just as bad as laying down a lie to hide the truth. When  our government gives something to a cast of Americans or immigrants, that something must be taken from someone else. That is true of money, rights...pretty much anything. This is written in stone. When they create an entitlement they really should express the cost of the new policy, source of the funding, and how it will effect the overall financial health of the country. Some of this information cannot be determined precisely or generally. That information should be expressed as well. Withholding it leaves the peoples' representatives as well as the people themselves unable to make  intelligent decisions. Remember when Nancy Pelosi said of the ACA, "Let's pass it so we can see what's in it!". That is an example of a politician whose intelligence has peaked and dwindled, leaving only the "Democrat/Tax and Spend"  cult member in it's place. 

If You Build It They Will Come...well not so much.

 Chinese developers act as if "If you build it, they will come." This isn't Hollywood and these aren't baseball fields. Building projects must be based on a reasonable projection of demand. Wishful thinking doesn't get it. Where do those dollars come from? Who will lose?

Builders will be bankrupted.

Investors who buy the bonds from Developers and the Government.

Chinese Middle class. Regular people trying to make their money work for them just like all of us do...buying into developers' schemes...buying stocks and bonds.. and losing when developers can't sell their "new" properties. Many times these are parts of schemes which are designed/sold as very attractive sites with pools and shopping centers , schools, etc. which were never built...and hence were never sold. 

and the Chinese Government...who bails out the developers/banks who finance the developers bad ideas.

Foreign investors buying into this grand scheme...keep in mind the high predictions of growth in China...by the Chinese Government. 

Without growth we can't attract capital. Without growth they may as well shut down their stock market. So they lie about the growth. 

Sooner or later they all recognize that no one is buying their stuff...and they all start suing each other for making false promises to each other...false because they all are derived from assumed demand...which is just not there. 

The lesson: Demand is the fuel behind an economy. Government can't create demand for anything. Only people can do that. Socialism is bound to fail because of that. If the Government lies about demand it will have excess capacity/supply with no buyers and the economy will stumble and may fail. There is no way around it.